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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

22%

Lecce

4.48

31%

Draw

3.22

47%

AS Roma

2.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.7%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.86

Lecce xG

Total xG

2.22

1.36

AS Roma xG

22%
31%
47%
LecceDrawAS Roma

4.48

22%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

2.14

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

26%

Lecce

3.88

42%

AS Roma

2.38

Win to Nil

6%

Lecce

17.40

20%

AS Roma

5.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 14.7 10.0 4.5 1.5 0.4
1 9.4 12.7 8.6 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 4.1 5.5 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2
3 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.865
λ Away (xG) 1.357
Total xG 2.222
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.196
Lecce attack strength 0.742
Lecce defence strength 1.234
AS Roma attack strength 0.919
AS Roma defence strength 0.902
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67