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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AC Milan Win
28%
3.53
31%
3.21
40%
2.47
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.7%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
11.3%
Away win
1 – 0
9.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.12
Lecce xG
Total xG
2.50
1.38
AC Milan xG
LecceDrawAC Milan
3.53
28%
Home win
3.21
31%
Draw
2.47
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
46%
Over 2.5
2.17
54%
Under 2.5
1.85
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.90
47%
BTTS No
2.11
Clean Sheet
25%
3.96
33%
3.07
Win to Nil
7%
13.99
13%
7.58
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2 | 11.3 | 7.8 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 12.7 | 8.7 | 4.0 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.2 | 7.1 | 4.9 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.122
λ Away (xG)
1.377
Total xG
2.499
League avg home goals
1.274
League avg away goals
1.133
Lecce attack strength
0.859
Lecce defence strength
1.059
AC Milan attack strength
1.148
AC Milan defence strength
1.025
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
39 / 39