Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Ettore Giardiniero - Via del Mare

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

21%

Lecce

4.66

32%

Draw

3.14

47%

AC Milan

2.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

0 – 0

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.88

Lecce xG

Total xG

2.26

1.39

AC Milan xG

21%
32%
47%
LecceDrawAC Milan

4.66

21%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

2.14

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

25%

Lecce

4.01

42%

AC Milan

2.40

Win to Nil

5%

Lecce

18.72

19%

AC Milan

5.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.4 14.4 10.0 4.6 1.6 0.4
1 9.1 12.6 8.8 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 4.0 5.5 3.8 1.8 0.6 0.2
3 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.875
λ Away (xG) 1.390
Total xG 2.265
League avg home goals 1.303
League avg away goals 1.208
Lecce attack strength 0.635
Lecce defence strength 1.131
AC Milan attack strength 1.017
AC Milan defence strength 1.058
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65