Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Mon 9 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sassuolo Win

33%

Lazio

3.03

26%

Draw

3.84

41%

Sassuolo

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.65

1.41

Sassuolo xG

33%
26%
41%
LazioDrawSassuolo

3.03

33%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

24%

Lazio

4.09

29%

Sassuolo

3.45

Win to Nil

8%

Lazio

12.38

12%

Sassuolo

8.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 10.0 7.0 3.3 1.2 0.3
1 8.8 12.4 8.7 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 5.4 7.6 5.4 2.5 0.9 0.3
3 2.2 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.237
λ Away (xG) 1.408
Total xG 2.645
League avg home goals 1.272
League avg away goals 1.178
Lazio attack strength 0.932
Lazio defence strength 1.160
Sassuolo attack strength 1.030
Sassuolo defence strength 1.044
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 27