Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 23 May 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

67%

Lazio

1.49

19%

Draw

5.16

14%

Pisa

7.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.14

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.99

0.85

Pisa xG

67%
19%
14%
LazioDrawPisa

1.49

67%

Home win

5.16

19%

Draw

7.30

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

43%

Lazio

2.34

12%

Pisa

8.48

Win to Nil

29%

Lazio

3.50

2%

Pisa

61.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.8 9.2 3.9 1.1 0.2
2 11.5 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 8.2 7.0 3.0 0.8 0.2
4 4.4 3.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
5 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.138
λ Away (xG) 0.850
Total xG 2.988
League avg home goals 1.225
League avg away goals 1.169
Lazio attack strength 1.035
Lazio defence strength 1.203
Pisa attack strength 0.604
Pisa defence strength 1.685
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 37