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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 4 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

45%

Lazio

2.23

29%

Draw

3.50

27%

Parma

3.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.19

0.91

Parma xG

45%
29%
27%
LazioDrawParma

2.23

45%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

3.77

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

40%

Lazio

2.48

28%

Parma

3.58

Win to Nil

18%

Lazio

5.54

7%

Parma

13.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 10.2 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.3 13.1 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.1 8.3 3.8 1.1 0.3
3 3.9 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.275
λ Away (xG) 0.910
Total xG 2.185
League avg home goals 1.263
League avg away goals 1.180
Lazio attack strength 1.012
Lazio defence strength 1.004
Parma attack strength 0.768
Parma defence strength 0.997
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68