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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Lazio Win
40%
2.51
33%
3.07
28%
3.63
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.7%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
16.5%
Draw
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.01
Lazio xG
Total xG
1.80
0.79
Napoli xG
LazioDrawNapoli
2.51
40%
Home win
3.07
33%
Draw
3.63
28%
Away win
Goals Markets
54%
Over 1.5
1.85
46%
Under 1.5
2.17
27%
Over 2.5
3.70
73%
Under 2.5
1.37
11%
Over 3.5
9.09
89%
Under 3.5
1.12
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
35%
BTTS Yes
2.87
65%
BTTS No
1.53
Clean Sheet
45%
2.20
36%
2.76
Win to Nil
18%
5.52
10%
10.00
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.5 | 13.0 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 16.7 | 13.2 | 5.2 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 8.5 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.015
λ Away (xG)
0.789
Total xG
1.804
League avg home goals
1.200
League avg away goals
1.092
Lazio attack strength
1.089
Lazio defence strength
0.787
Napoli attack strength
0.918
Napoli defence strength
0.777
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
55 / 54