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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Napoli Win
23%
4.42
28%
3.59
50%
2.02
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.6%
Away win
0 – 1
8.0%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.26
Lazio xG
Total xG
3.16
1.90
Napoli xG
LazioDrawNapoli
4.42
23%
Home win
3.59
28%
Draw
2.02
50%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.57
36%
BTTS No
2.76
Clean Sheet
15%
6.68
28%
3.54
Win to Nil
3%
29.49
14%
7.15
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2 | 8.0 | 7.6 | 4.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 5.3 | 10.2 | 9.6 | 6.1 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 2 | 3.4 | 6.4 | 6.1 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.264
λ Away (xG)
1.899
Total xG
3.163
League avg home goals
1.365
League avg away goals
1.311
Lazio attack strength
1.296
Lazio defence strength
1.098
Napoli attack strength
1.320
Napoli defence strength
0.715
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
62 / 62