Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

51%

Lazio

1.98

28%

Draw

3.54

21%

Monza

4.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.87

1.10

Monza xG

51%
28%
21%
LazioDrawMonza

1.98

51%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

4.72

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

33%

Lazio

3.01

17%

Monza

5.86

Win to Nil

17%

Lazio

5.96

4%

Monza

27.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 6.2 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.0 11.0 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 5.2 5.8 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.769
λ Away (xG) 1.103
Total xG 2.872
League avg home goals 1.356
League avg away goals 1.331
Lazio attack strength 1.081
Lazio defence strength 1.090
Monza attack strength 0.760
Monza defence strength 1.208
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61