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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

52%

Lazio

1.92

28%

Draw

3.54

20%

Lecce

5.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.60

0.95

Lecce xG

52%
28%
20%
LazioDrawLecce

1.92

52%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

5.05

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

39%

Lazio

2.58

19%

Lecce

5.21

Win to Nil

20%

Lazio

4.97

4%

Lecce

26.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 7.1 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 12.3 11.6 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.6 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.6 5.3 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.3 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.650
λ Away (xG) 0.949
Total xG 2.599
League avg home goals 1.192
League avg away goals 1.095
Lazio attack strength 1.267
Lazio defence strength 0.938
Lecce attack strength 0.925
Lecce defence strength 1.092
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49