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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

47%

Lazio

2.14

26%

Draw

3.82

27%

Lecce

3.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.76

1.16

Lecce xG

47%
26%
27%
LazioDrawLecce

2.14

47%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

3.70

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

31%

Lazio

3.20

20%

Lecce

4.95

Win to Nil

15%

Lazio

6.84

5%

Lecce

18.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.3 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.1 11.7 6.8 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.1 9.4 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.3 5.0 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.600
λ Away (xG) 1.163
Total xG 2.763
League avg home goals 1.230
League avg away goals 1.143
Lazio attack strength 1.169
Lazio defence strength 1.165
Lecce attack strength 0.874
Lecce defence strength 1.113
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 75