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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 9 May 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

25%

Lazio

3.97

23%

Draw

4.30

52%

Inter

1.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

0 – 1

7.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Lazio xG

Total xG

3.19

1.91

Inter xG

25%
23%
52%
LazioDrawInter

3.97

25%

Home win

4.30

23%

Draw

1.94

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

15%

Lazio

6.72

28%

Inter

3.60

Win to Nil

4%

Lazio

26.66

14%

Inter

6.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 7.9 7.5 4.8 2.3 0.9
1 5.3 10.1 9.6 6.1 2.9 1.1
2 3.4 6.5 6.2 3.9 1.9 0.7
3 1.4 2.8 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.3
4 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.280
λ Away (xG) 1.905
Total xG 3.185
League avg home goals 1.247
League avg away goals 1.106
Lazio attack strength 1.126
Lazio defence strength 1.176
Inter attack strength 1.464
Inter defence strength 0.912
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73