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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Mon 16 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

36%

Lazio

2.76

25%

Draw

3.99

39%

Inter

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.5%

Away win

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.84

1.45

Inter xG

36%
25%
39%
LazioDrawInter

2.76

36%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

24%

Lazio

4.25

25%

Inter

4.01

Win to Nil

9%

Lazio

11.74

10%

Inter

10.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 8.5 6.1 3.0 1.1 0.3
1 8.2 11.8 8.5 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 5.7 8.2 5.9 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 2.6 3.8 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.390
λ Away (xG) 1.446
Total xG 2.836
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.292
Lazio attack strength 1.322
Lazio defence strength 0.777
Inter attack strength 1.440
Inter defence strength 0.783
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 52