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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

38%

Lazio

2.65

31%

Draw

3.23

31%

Hellas Verona

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.28

1.07

Hellas Verona xG

38%
31%
31%
LazioDrawHellas Verona

2.65

38%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

34%

Lazio

2.93

30%

Hellas Verona

3.34

Win to Nil

13%

Lazio

7.76

9%

Hellas Verona

10.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 11.0 5.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 12.3 13.2 7.1 2.6 0.7 0.1
2 7.4 8.0 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.0 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.206
λ Away (xG) 1.075
Total xG 2.281
League avg home goals 1.167
League avg away goals 1.062
Lazio attack strength 1.053
Lazio defence strength 1.069
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.947
Hellas Verona defence strength 0.981
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39