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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Fri 30 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genoa Win

36%

Lazio

2.77

26%

Draw

3.80

38%

Genoa

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.61

1.32

Genoa xG

36%
26%
38%
LazioDrawGenoa

2.77

36%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

27%

Lazio

3.74

28%

Genoa

3.63

Win to Nil

10%

Lazio

10.35

10%

Genoa

9.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.7 6.4 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 9.5 12.5 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.1 8.1 5.3 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.6 3.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.289
λ Away (xG) 1.319
Total xG 2.608
League avg home goals 1.227
League avg away goals 1.146
Lazio attack strength 0.921
Lazio defence strength 1.095
Genoa attack strength 1.051
Genoa defence strength 1.141
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60