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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

52%

Lazio

1.92

26%

Draw

3.82

22%

Cremonese

4.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.36

0.86

Cremonese xG

52%
26%
22%
LazioDrawCremonese

1.92

52%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

4.62

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

42%

Lazio

2.37

22%

Cremonese

4.48

Win to Nil

22%

Lazio

4.54

5%

Cremonese

20.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 8.1 3.5 1.0 0.2
1 14.1 12.2 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.6 9.1 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 5.3 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.499
λ Away (xG) 0.863
Total xG 2.362
League avg home goals 1.232
League avg away goals 1.105
Lazio attack strength 1.192
Lazio defence strength 0.847
Cremonese attack strength 0.921
Cremonese defence strength 1.021
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 15