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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Mon 19 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

29%

Lazio

3.47

27%

Draw

3.71

44%

Como

2.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.44

1.38

Como xG

29%
27%
44%
LazioDrawComo

3.47

29%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

2.26

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

25%

Lazio

3.98

35%

Como

2.89

Win to Nil

7%

Lazio

13.80

15%

Como

6.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 12.0 8.3 3.8 1.3 0.4
1 9.2 12.7 8.8 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 4.9 6.8 4.7 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 1.7 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.062
λ Away (xG) 1.382
Total xG 2.444
League avg home goals 1.150
League avg away goals 1.141
Lazio attack strength 1.031
Lazio defence strength 0.973
Como attack strength 1.245
Como defence strength 0.895
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58