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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 10 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

59%

Lazio

1.68

23%

Draw

4.38

18%

Como

5.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.96

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.95

0.99

Como xG

59%
23%
18%
LazioDrawComo

1.68

59%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

5.61

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

37%

Lazio

2.69

14%

Como

7.12

Win to Nil

22%

Lazio

4.53

3%

Como

39.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 5.2 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.2 10.1 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 10.0 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.6 6.5 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.2 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.963
λ Away (xG) 0.990
Total xG 2.953
League avg home goals 1.304
League avg away goals 1.320
Lazio attack strength 1.217
Lazio defence strength 1.040
Como attack strength 0.721
Como defence strength 1.237
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 18