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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Mon 3 Nov 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

45%

Lazio

2.22

27%

Draw

3.67

28%

Cagliari

3.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.73

1.17

Cagliari xG

45%
27%
28%
LazioDrawCagliari

2.22

45%

Home win

3.67

27%

Draw

3.62

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

31%

Lazio

3.23

21%

Cagliari

4.75

Win to Nil

14%

Lazio

7.17

6%

Cagliari

17.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 7.6 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 10.1 11.9 7.0 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.3 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.1 4.8 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.558
λ Away (xG) 1.174
Total xG 2.732
League avg home goals 1.173
League avg away goals 1.075
Lazio attack strength 1.224
Lazio defence strength 1.043
Cagliari attack strength 1.048
Cagliari defence strength 1.086
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47