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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

41%

Lazio

2.46

27%

Draw

3.68

32%

Bologna

3.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.67

1.25

Bologna xG

41%
27%
32%
LazioDrawBologna

2.46

41%

Home win

3.68

27%

Draw

3.11

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

29%

Lazio

3.47

24%

Bologna

4.17

Win to Nil

12%

Lazio

8.55

8%

Bologna

12.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 8.6 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.9 12.3 7.6 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 7.0 8.8 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.3 4.2 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.427
λ Away (xG) 1.245
Total xG 2.672
League avg home goals 1.249
League avg away goals 1.113
Lazio attack strength 1.232
Lazio defence strength 0.865
Bologna attack strength 1.293
Bologna defence strength 0.927
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51