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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

34%

Lazio

2.98

29%

Draw

3.50

38%

Atalanta

2.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.31

1.20

Atalanta xG

34%
29%
38%
LazioDrawAtalanta

2.98

34%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

2.64

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

30%

Lazio

3.31

33%

Atalanta

3.03

Win to Nil

10%

Lazio

9.84

12%

Atalanta

8.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 11.9 7.1 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.1 13.2 7.9 3.2 0.9 0.2
2 6.1 7.3 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.110
λ Away (xG) 1.196
Total xG 2.306
League avg home goals 1.241
League avg away goals 1.213
Lazio attack strength 1.020
Lazio defence strength 1.102
Atalanta attack strength 0.895
Atalanta defence strength 0.877
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62