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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 28 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Stadio Olimpico

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

24%

Lazio

4.09

23%

Draw

4.33

52%

Atalanta

1.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.7%

Away win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Lazio xG

Total xG

2.97

1.81

Atalanta xG

24%
23%
52%
LazioDrawAtalanta

4.09

24%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

1.91

52%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

16%

Lazio

6.10

31%

Atalanta

3.20

Win to Nil

4%

Lazio

24.96

16%

Atalanta

6.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.1 9.3 8.4 5.1 2.3 0.8
1 6.0 10.8 9.7 5.9 2.7 1.0
2 3.5 6.3 5.7 3.4 1.5 0.6
3 1.3 2.4 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.162
λ Away (xG) 1.808
Total xG 2.970
League avg home goals 1.336
League avg away goals 1.340
Lazio attack strength 1.227
Lazio defence strength 1.091
Atalanta attack strength 1.236
Atalanta defence strength 0.709
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55