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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

17:00

Venue

Allianz Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juventus Win

70%

Juventus

1.42

18%

Draw

5.47

12%

Monza

8.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.26

Juventus xG

Total xG

3.06

0.80

Monza xG

70%
18%
12%
JuventusDrawMonza

1.42

70%

Home win

5.47

18%

Draw

8.69

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

45%

Juventus

2.23

10%

Monza

9.60

Win to Nil

32%

Juventus

3.17

1%

Monza

83.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.6 8.5 3.4 0.9 0.2
2 12.0 9.6 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 9.0 7.2 2.9 0.8 0.2
4 5.1 4.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
5 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.262
λ Away (xG) 0.801
Total xG 3.063
League avg home goals 1.216
League avg away goals 1.125
Juventus attack strength 1.196
Juventus defence strength 0.930
Monza attack strength 0.765
Monza defence strength 1.555
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71