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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Allianz Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juventus Win

54%

Juventus

1.87

28%

Draw

3.63

19%

Lecce

5.31

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Juventus xG

Total xG

2.52

0.88

Lecce xG

54%
28%
19%
JuventusDrawLecce

1.87

54%

Home win

3.63

28%

Draw

5.31

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

41%

Juventus

2.42

20%

Lecce

5.12

Win to Nil

22%

Juventus

4.52

4%

Lecce

27.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 7.1 3.2 0.9 0.2
1 13.2 11.6 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.5 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 5.9 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.1
4 2.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.633
λ Away (xG) 0.884
Total xG 2.517
League avg home goals 1.264
League avg away goals 1.176
Juventus attack strength 1.151
Juventus defence strength 0.885
Lecce attack strength 0.850
Lecce defence strength 1.122
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69