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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Allianz Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Atalanta Win

26%

Juventus

3.83

31%

Draw

3.19

43%

Atalanta

2.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Juventus xG

Total xG

2.39

1.37

Atalanta xG

26%
31%
43%
JuventusDrawAtalanta

3.83

26%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

2.35

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

25%

Juventus

3.93

36%

Atalanta

2.79

Win to Nil

7%

Juventus

15.06

15%

Atalanta

6.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 12.5 8.5 3.9 1.3 0.4
1 9.4 12.8 8.8 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 4.8 6.6 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.6 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.025
λ Away (xG) 1.368
Total xG 2.393
League avg home goals 1.312
League avg away goals 1.228
Juventus attack strength 1.236
Juventus defence strength 0.739
Atalanta attack strength 1.508
Atalanta defence strength 0.632
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65