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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Allianz Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juventus Win

39%

Juventus

2.56

31%

Draw

3.27

30%

AS Roma

3.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.4%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Juventus xG

Total xG

2.01

0.92

AS Roma xG

39%
31%
30%
JuventusDrawAS Roma

2.56

39%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

3.29

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

40%

Juventus

2.51

34%

AS Roma

2.97

Win to Nil

16%

Juventus

6.44

10%

AS Roma

9.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.4 12.4 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 14.6 13.4 6.2 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 7.9 7.3 3.4 1.0 0.2
3 2.9 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.087
λ Away (xG) 0.921
Total xG 2.008
League avg home goals 1.220
League avg away goals 1.098
Juventus attack strength 1.151
Juventus defence strength 0.863
AS Roma attack strength 0.973
AS Roma defence strength 0.774
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53