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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 6 Sep 2026

19:45

Venue

Allianz Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Juventus Win

39%

Juventus

2.56

28%

Draw

3.55

33%

AC Milan

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Juventus xG

Total xG

2.32

1.10

AC Milan xG

39%
28%
33%
JuventusDrawAC Milan

2.56

39%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

33%

Juventus

3.00

29%

AC Milan

3.40

Win to Nil

13%

Juventus

7.66

10%

AC Milan

10.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 10.8 5.9 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.0 13.2 7.2 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.4 8.1 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.0 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.225
λ Away (xG) 1.097
Total xG 2.322
League avg home goals 1.270
League avg away goals 1.178
Juventus attack strength 1.094
Juventus defence strength 0.919
AC Milan attack strength 1.012
AC Milan defence strength 0.882
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38