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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Allianz Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

35%

Juventus

2.88

27%

Draw

3.73

38%

AC Milan

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

1 – 2

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Juventus xG

Total xG

2.82

1.45

AC Milan xG

35%
27%
38%
JuventusDrawAC Milan

2.88

35%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

24%

Juventus

4.25

25%

AC Milan

3.93

Win to Nil

8%

Juventus

12.23

10%

AC Milan

10.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 8.7 6.3 3.0 1.1 0.3
1 8.2 11.9 8.6 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 5.6 8.1 5.9 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.6 3.7 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.368
λ Away (xG) 1.448
Total xG 2.816
League avg home goals 1.237
League avg away goals 1.157
Juventus attack strength 1.362
Juventus defence strength 0.978
AC Milan attack strength 1.280
AC Milan defence strength 0.812
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43