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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

17:00

Venue

Allianz Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juventus Win

38%

Juventus

2.64

29%

Draw

3.47

33%

AC Milan

3.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Juventus xG

Total xG

2.71

1.30

AC Milan xG

38%
29%
33%
JuventusDrawAC Milan

2.64

38%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.01

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

27%

Juventus

3.68

25%

AC Milan

4.07

Win to Nil

10%

Juventus

9.70

8%

AC Milan

12.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.7 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.4 12.2 8.0 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.6 8.6 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.1 4.0 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.404
λ Away (xG) 1.303
Total xG 2.707
League avg home goals 1.303
League avg away goals 1.304
Juventus attack strength 1.096
Juventus defence strength 0.959
AC Milan attack strength 1.042
AC Milan defence strength 0.983
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 57