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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

65%

Inter

1.54

19%

Draw

5.27

16%

Sassuolo

6.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.9%

Home win

1 – 1

8.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.32

Inter xG

Total xG

3.41

1.09

Sassuolo xG

65%
19%
16%
InterDrawSassuolo

1.54

65%

Home win

5.27

19%

Draw

6.17

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

34%

Inter

2.97

10%

Sassuolo

10.21

Win to Nil

22%

Inter

4.58

2%

Sassuolo

62.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 7.7 8.3 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 8.9 9.7 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 6.9 7.5 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 4.0 4.4 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 1.9 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.323
λ Away (xG) 1.088
Total xG 3.411
League avg home goals 1.155
League avg away goals 1.111
Inter attack strength 1.440
Inter defence strength 1.003
Sassuolo attack strength 0.976
Sassuolo defence strength 1.397
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 3