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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Wed 14 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

68%

Inter

1.47

19%

Draw

5.24

13%

Lecce

7.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.14

Inter xG

Total xG

2.96

0.81

Lecce xG

68%
19%
13%
InterDrawLecce

1.47

68%

Home win

5.24

19%

Draw

7.71

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

44%

Inter

2.25

12%

Lecce

8.52

Win to Nil

30%

Inter

3.31

2%

Lecce

65.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 4.2 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.2 9.1 3.7 1.0 0.2
2 12.0 9.7 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 8.5 6.9 2.8 0.8 0.2
4 4.6 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 2.0 1.6 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.143
λ Away (xG) 0.812
Total xG 2.955
League avg home goals 1.189
League avg away goals 1.164
Inter attack strength 1.669
Inter defence strength 0.859
Lecce attack strength 0.813
Lecce defence strength 1.080
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57