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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

57%

Inter

1.74

23%

Draw

4.38

20%

Atalanta

5.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Inter xG

Total xG

2.78

0.96

Atalanta xG

57%
23%
20%
InterDrawAtalanta

1.74

57%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

5.06

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

38%

Inter

2.62

16%

Atalanta

6.15

Win to Nil

22%

Inter

4.57

3%

Atalanta

31.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 6.0 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 11.3 10.9 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.9 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.2 6.0 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 2.8 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.816
λ Away (xG) 0.964
Total xG 2.780
League avg home goals 1.297
League avg away goals 1.175
Inter attack strength 1.614
Inter defence strength 0.869
Atalanta attack strength 0.945
Atalanta defence strength 0.868
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66