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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hellas Verona Win

42%

Hellas Verona

2.40

30%

Draw

3.29

28%

Sassuolo

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

2.30

1.01

Sassuolo xG

42%
30%
28%
Hellas VeronaDrawSassuolo

2.40

42%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

36%

Hellas Verona

2.75

27%

Sassuolo

3.64

Win to Nil

15%

Hellas Verona

6.59

8%

Sassuolo

13.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 10.1 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.9 13.1 6.6 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.3 8.4 4.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.6 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.291
λ Away (xG) 1.011
Total xG 2.302
League avg home goals 1.200
League avg away goals 1.144
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.801
Hellas Verona defence strength 0.930
Sassuolo attack strength 0.950
Sassuolo defence strength 1.344
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 5