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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Mon 31 Mar 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Parma Win

34%

Hellas Verona

2.96

29%

Draw

3.46

37%

Parma

2.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

2.52

1.30

Parma xG

34%
29%
37%
Hellas VeronaDrawParma

2.96

34%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

2.68

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

27%

Hellas Verona

3.67

29%

Parma

3.40

Win to Nil

9%

Hellas Verona

10.87

11%

Parma

9.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 10.4 6.8 2.9 1.0 0.2
1 9.8 12.8 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.0 7.8 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.4 3.2 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.224
λ Away (xG) 1.300
Total xG 2.524
League avg home goals 1.299
League avg away goals 1.173
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.754
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.436
Parma attack strength 0.772
Parma defence strength 1.250
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 29