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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Napoli Win

22%

Hellas Verona

4.50

25%

Draw

4.08

53%

Napoli

1.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

0 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

2.62

1.65

Napoli xG

22%
25%
53%
Hellas VeronaDrawNapoli

4.50

22%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

1.88

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

19%

Hellas Verona

5.20

38%

Napoli

2.64

Win to Nil

4%

Hellas Verona

23.39

20%

Napoli

4.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 12.0 9.9 5.4 2.2 0.7
1 7.1 11.7 9.6 5.3 2.2 0.7
2 3.4 5.7 4.7 2.6 1.1 0.3
3 1.1 1.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.972
λ Away (xG) 1.649
Total xG 2.621
League avg home goals 1.233
League avg away goals 1.197
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.796
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.281
Napoli attack strength 1.075
Napoli defence strength 0.990
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64