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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lecce Win

30%

Hellas Verona

3.31

32%

Draw

3.11

38%

Lecce

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.6%

Away win

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.86

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

1.85

0.99

Lecce xG

30%
32%
38%
Hellas VeronaDrawLecce

3.31

30%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.75

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

37%

Hellas Verona

2.70

42%

Lecce

2.36

Win to Nil

11%

Hellas Verona

8.94

16%

Lecce

6.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.7 15.6 7.8 2.6 0.6 0.1
1 13.5 13.4 6.7 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 5.8 5.7 2.9 0.9 0.2
3 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.859
λ Away (xG) 0.995
Total xG 1.854
League avg home goals 1.256
League avg away goals 1.143
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.654
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.220
Lecce attack strength 0.714
Lecce defence strength 1.047
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71