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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sun 11 Jan 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

29%

Hellas Verona

3.40

30%

Draw

3.29

40%

Lazio

2.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

2.02

1.11

Lazio xG

29%
30%
40%
Hellas VeronaDrawLazio

3.40

29%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

2.49

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.50

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

33%

Hellas Verona

3.05

40%

Lazio

2.48

Win to Nil

10%

Hellas Verona

10.38

16%

Lazio

6.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.2 14.8 8.2 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 12.0 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 5.4 6.1 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.907
λ Away (xG) 1.115
Total xG 2.022
League avg home goals 1.166
League avg away goals 1.179
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.947
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.250
Lazio attack strength 0.756
Lazio defence strength 0.822
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 57