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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

11:30

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genoa Win

30%

Hellas Verona

3.32

27%

Draw

3.74

43%

Genoa

2.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

2.49

1.38

Genoa xG

30%
27%
43%
Hellas VeronaDrawGenoa

3.32

30%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.32

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

25%

Hellas Verona

3.98

33%

Genoa

3.03

Win to Nil

8%

Hellas Verona

13.21

14%

Genoa

7.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 11.5 7.9 3.6 1.3 0.3
1 9.2 12.7 8.8 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.1 7.0 4.9 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.108
λ Away (xG) 1.381
Total xG 2.489
League avg home goals 1.287
League avg away goals 1.173
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.788
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.310
Genoa attack strength 0.899
Genoa defence strength 1.093
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66