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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Mon 15 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hellas Verona Win

37%

Hellas Verona

2.71

28%

Draw

3.59

35%

Cremonese

2.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Hellas Verona xG

Total xG

2.38

1.17

Cremonese xG

37%
28%
35%
Hellas VeronaDrawCremonese

2.71

37%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.84

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

31%

Hellas Verona

3.23

30%

Cremonese

3.34

Win to Nil

11%

Hellas Verona

8.74

11%

Cremonese

9.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 10.9 6.4 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.2 13.1 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.7 7.9 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.7 3.2 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.205
λ Away (xG) 1.172
Total xG 2.377
League avg home goals 1.251
League avg away goals 1.071
Hellas Verona attack strength 0.881
Hellas Verona defence strength 1.091
Cremonese attack strength 1.003
Cremonese defence strength 1.093
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 2