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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Mon 17 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genoa Win

48%

Genoa

2.09

31%

Draw

3.18

21%

Venezia

4.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Genoa xG

Total xG

2.43

0.93

Venezia xG

48%
31%
21%
GenoaDrawVenezia

2.09

48%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

4.86

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

40%

Genoa

2.52

22%

Venezia

4.49

Win to Nil

19%

Genoa

5.27

5%

Venezia

21.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 8.2 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.3 12.3 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.2 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.0 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.501
λ Away (xG) 0.926
Total xG 2.427
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.279
Genoa attack strength 0.871
Genoa defence strength 0.908
Venezia attack strength 0.798
Venezia defence strength 1.287
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 24