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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Mon 27 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genoa Win

39%

Genoa

2.53

33%

Draw

3.02

27%

Monza

3.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Genoa xG

Total xG

2.32

1.04

Monza xG

39%
33%
27%
GenoaDrawMonza

2.53

39%

Home win

3.02

33%

Draw

3.64

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

35%

Genoa

2.82

28%

Monza

3.60

Win to Nil

14%

Genoa

7.14

8%

Monza

13.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 10.2 5.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.6 13.1 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.1 8.4 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.5 3.6 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.282
λ Away (xG) 1.037
Total xG 2.319
League avg home goals 1.352
League avg away goals 1.325
Genoa attack strength 0.811
Genoa defence strength 0.948
Monza attack strength 0.826
Monza defence strength 1.169
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59