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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Wed 23 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genoa Win

39%

Genoa

2.59

31%

Draw

3.27

31%

Lazio

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Genoa xG

Total xG

2.27

1.06

Lazio xG

39%
31%
31%
GenoaDrawLazio

2.59

39%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

35%

Genoa

2.87

30%

Lazio

3.36

Win to Nil

13%

Genoa

7.45

9%

Lazio

10.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 10.9 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.5 13.2 7.0 2.5 0.6 0.1
2 7.6 8.0 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 3.1 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.213
λ Away (xG) 1.056
Total xG 2.269
League avg home goals 1.239
League avg away goals 1.132
Genoa attack strength 0.954
Genoa defence strength 0.871
Lazio attack strength 1.071
Lazio defence strength 1.025
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 70