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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Inter Win

18%

Fiorentina

5.43

26%

Draw

3.84

56%

Inter

1.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

15.9%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

12.0%

Away win

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.74

Fiorentina xG

Total xG

2.25

1.51

Inter xG

18%
26%
56%
FiorentinaDrawInter

5.43

18%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

1.80

56%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.45

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

22%

Fiorentina

4.52

48%

Inter

2.10

Win to Nil

4%

Fiorentina

24.55

26%

Inter

3.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 15.9 12.0 6.0 2.3 0.7
1 7.8 11.8 8.9 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 2.9 4.4 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.2
3 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.744
λ Away (xG) 1.509
Total xG 2.253
League avg home goals 1.264
League avg away goals 1.191
Fiorentina attack strength 0.909
Fiorentina defence strength 0.985
Inter attack strength 1.287
Inter defence strength 0.648
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67