🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AS Roma Win
24%
4.17
30%
3.38
46%
2.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.2%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
0 – 0
10.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.90
Fiorentina xG
Total xG
2.25
1.35
AS Roma xG
FiorentinaDrawAS Roma
4.17
24%
Home win
3.38
30%
Draw
2.15
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
66%
Over 1.5
1.52
34%
Under 1.5
2.94
39%
Over 2.5
2.56
61%
Under 2.5
1.64
19%
Over 3.5
5.26
81%
Under 3.5
1.23
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.23
55%
BTTS No
1.81
Clean Sheet
26%
3.87
41%
2.45
Win to Nil
6%
16.13
19%
5.28
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.5 | 14.2 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 9.5 | 12.8 | 8.7 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 4.2 | 5.7 | 3.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.898
λ Away (xG)
1.353
Total xG
2.251
League avg home goals
1.200
League avg away goals
1.166
Fiorentina attack strength
1.047
Fiorentina defence strength
1.221
AS Roma attack strength
0.950
AS Roma defence strength
0.715
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
43 / 43