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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lazio Win

19%

Empoli

5.27

26%

Draw

3.83

55%

Lazio

1.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

0 – 2

11.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.82

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.41

1.58

Lazio xG

19%
26%
55%
EmpoliDrawLazio

5.27

19%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

1.82

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

21%

Empoli

4.87

44%

Lazio

2.28

Win to Nil

4%

Empoli

25.68

24%

Lazio

4.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 14.3 11.3 6.0 2.4 0.7
1 7.4 11.7 9.3 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 3.1 4.8 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.3
3 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.823
λ Away (xG) 1.584
Total xG 2.407
League avg home goals 1.177
League avg away goals 1.112
Empoli attack strength 0.723
Empoli defence strength 1.253
Lazio attack strength 1.137
Lazio defence strength 0.968
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72