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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

17:00

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AC Milan Win

24%

Empoli

4.10

35%

Draw

2.89

41%

AC Milan

2.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.17

1.25

AC Milan xG

24%
35%
41%
EmpoliDrawAC Milan

4.10

24%

Home win

2.89

35%

Draw

2.44

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

29%

Empoli

3.49

40%

AC Milan

2.51

Win to Nil

7%

Empoli

14.32

16%

AC Milan

6.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 14.3 8.9 3.7 1.2 0.3
1 10.5 13.1 8.2 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 4.8 6.0 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.921
λ Away (xG) 1.251
Total xG 2.172
League avg home goals 1.372
League avg away goals 1.326
Empoli attack strength 0.681
Empoli defence strength 1.009
AC Milan attack strength 0.935
AC Milan defence strength 0.986
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 60