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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cremonese Win

46%

Cremonese

2.19

26%

Draw

3.79

28%

Parma

3.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Cremonese xG

Total xG

2.51

1.07

Parma xG

46%
26%
28%
CremoneseDrawParma

2.19

46%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

3.57

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

34%

Cremonese

2.92

24%

Parma

4.23

Win to Nil

16%

Cremonese

6.39

7%

Parma

15.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 8.7 4.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 11.7 12.5 6.7 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 9.0 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.1 4.3 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.443
λ Away (xG) 1.070
Total xG 2.513
League avg home goals 1.195
League avg away goals 1.087
Cremonese attack strength 1.067
Cremonese defence strength 1.259
Parma attack strength 0.781
Parma defence strength 1.132
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 41