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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Fri 28 Nov 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

40%

Como

2.48

32%

Draw

3.10

27%

Sassuolo

3.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Como xG

Total xG

2.17

0.96

Sassuolo xG

40%
32%
27%
ComoDrawSassuolo

2.48

40%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

3.64

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

38%

Como

2.61

30%

Sassuolo

3.36

Win to Nil

15%

Como

6.47

8%

Sassuolo

12.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 10.9 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.8 13.3 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.4 8.0 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.4 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.213
λ Away (xG) 0.959
Total xG 2.172
League avg home goals 1.188
League avg away goals 1.132
Como attack strength 1.091
Como defence strength 0.805
Sassuolo attack strength 1.052
Sassuolo defence strength 0.937
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 12