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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

11:00

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

54%

Como

1.86

26%

Draw

3.79

20%

Parma

5.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Como xG

Total xG

2.36

0.82

Parma xG

54%
26%
20%
ComoDrawParma

1.86

54%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

5.03

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

44%

Como

2.28

22%

Parma

4.63

Win to Nil

24%

Como

4.24

4%

Parma

23.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 7.8 3.2 0.9 0.2
1 14.5 12.0 4.9 1.4 0.3
2 11.1 9.2 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 5.7 4.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.532
λ Away (xG) 0.824
Total xG 2.356
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 1.131
Como attack strength 1.322
Como defence strength 0.937
Parma attack strength 0.777
Parma defence strength 0.928
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74