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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

17:00

Venue

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Como Win

49%

Como

2.05

24%

Draw

4.24

28%

Napoli

3.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Como xG

Total xG

2.99

1.25

Napoli xG

49%
24%
28%
ComoDrawNapoli

2.05

49%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

3.61

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.43

Clean Sheet

29%

Como

3.50

18%

Napoli

5.66

Win to Nil

14%

Como

7.19

5%

Napoli

20.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.3 4.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.7 11.0 6.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.5 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.4 5.5 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.733
λ Away (xG) 1.253
Total xG 2.986
League avg home goals 1.265
League avg away goals 1.141
Como attack strength 1.452
Como defence strength 1.026
Napoli attack strength 1.070
Napoli defence strength 0.944
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72